PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

mustanggtd

0x8ab17d9b8a5d68383d0fd2c35b5d5307dc445ae4

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$85.8k
Markets traded
137
Open portfolio
$645.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.9%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded137
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.2950.989$164.49+$115.49
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.4000.992$109.18+$65.18
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.4710.987$97.32+$50.80
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.3020.757$82.77+$49.77
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.2400.958$71.89+$53.89
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? · No0.1340.177$68.80+$16.80
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1440.027$19.13$82.87
Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2890.184$13.41$7.59
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3400.255$7.50$2.50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0730.029$6.36$9.64
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0280.004$1.41$8.59
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0700.004$1.14$18.86
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.002$0.75$4.25
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.002$0.56$2.44
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1670.002$0.24$19.76

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-15 22:19Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2889998457$1.00
08-15 22:18Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2889999599$5.00
08-15 22:18Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
08-15 22:18Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.1429998978$1.00
08-15 22:18Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.1380564636$10.00
08-15 22:16Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3399999857$10.00
08-15 22:16Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2889999599$5.00
08-15 22:15Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2889999599$5.00
08-15 22:15Will Multipli.fi launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2889999599$5.00
08-15 22:08Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.1342455175$5.00
08-15 22:07Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.434999863$1.00
08-15 22:07Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.1339999798$5.00
08-15 19:44Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?BUY0.1349998906$1.00
08-15 19:43Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1$22.00
08-15 19:43Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.2991696872$32.00