mustanggtd
0x8ab17d9b8a5d68383d0fd2c35b5d5307dc445ae4
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $84.7k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $443.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.068Will Sentient launch a token in 2025?
- +$654.05at 0.227Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$412.28at 0.122Will Solstice launch a token by March 31 2026?
- +$185.26at 0.209Will Trump meet with Friedrich Merz in January 2026?
- +$138.06at 0.256Will Trump meet with Giorgia Meloni in January 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:36 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? | BUY | 0.0275400719 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 13:36 | Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? | BUY | 0.026967912 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1499998875 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1471670346 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 13:33 | Will Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399998824 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:32 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:31 | Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0879999852 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:31 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 13:29 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 13:29 | Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | BUY | 0.3514801121 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 13:28 | Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0879999226 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 13:28 | Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0752393936 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 03:35 | Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.217259266 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 03:34 | President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? | BUY | 0.0309999902 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 03:33 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |