PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

mustanggtd

0x8ab17d9b8a5d68383d0fd2c35b5d5307dc445ae4

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$84.7k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$443.43

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.2950.885$147.19+$98.19
Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.3980.925$91.25+$52.03
Will Exponent launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.2400.950$71.29+$53.29
Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.1610.105$49.02$25.98
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.4000.375$41.29$2.71
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.2720.740$8.17+$5.17
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0730.035$7.76$8.24
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0700.025$7.00$13.00
Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31? · No0.0270.010$6.65$11.35
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0280.011$4.06$5.94
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0100.006$3.25$1.75
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0080.006$2.44$0.56
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0510.005$2.37$21.63
Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.0780.003$0.67$20.33
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1670.004$0.54$19.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 13:36Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?BUY0.0275400719$3.00
08-02 13:36Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be at least 350m by August 31?BUY0.026967912$15.00
08-02 13:33Will Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
08-02 13:33Will Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1471670346$2.00
08-02 13:33Will Squid launch a token by August 31, 2026?BUY0.1399998824$1.00
08-02 13:32Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
08-02 13:31Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0879999852$5.00
08-02 13:31Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
08-02 13:29Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$15.00
08-02 13:29Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.3514801121$15.00
08-02 13:28Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0879999226$1.00
08-02 13:28Will Squid launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0752393936$15.00
07-19 03:35Will Cambria launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.217259266$20.00
07-19 03:34President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?BUY0.0309999902$3.00
07-19 03:33Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999836$5.00
Trader mustanggtd · PolyBot