0x8a1480dad6a335b8b527731bee0e14e7c0bfb0b5
0x8a1480dad6a335b8b527731bee0e14e7c0bfb0b5
- Realised P&L
- $37.75
- Volume
- $7.3k
- Markets traded
- 227
- Open portfolio
- $46.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded227
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$61.09at 0.144Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
- +$28.59at 0.550US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$23.66at 0.076Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?
- +$19.13at 0.992MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$11.46at 0.450Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-04 11:51 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 14:12 | Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 11:30 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 09:31 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 09:02 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 23:18 | Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 09:18 | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 09:17 | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-02 02:38 | Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 07-01 20:33 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 21:31 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 18:34 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 18:22 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 16:44 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 16:13 | Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |