PolyBot

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Traders

0x8a1480dad6a335b8b527731bee0e14e7c0bfb0b5

0x8a1480dad6a335b8b527731bee0e14e7c0bfb0b5

Realised P&L
$37.75
Volume
$7.3k
Markets traded
227
Open portfolio
$46.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded227
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7150.825$20.50+$2.73
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2250.175$5.77−$1.66
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6150.735$2.39+$0.39
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9600.977$2.04+$0.04
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.4580.085$1.86−$8.14
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.7800.945$1.21+$0.21
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8400.955$1.14+$0.14
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2350.125$1.06−$0.94
Kash Patel out by December 31? · Yes0.6730.175$1.04−$2.96
Will the Nevada abortion protection amendment pass? · Yes0.9880.920$0.93−$0.07
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · Yes0.3400.315$0.93−$0.07
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? · No0.9920.843$0.85−$0.15
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026? · Yes0.2700.180$0.67−$0.33
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.630$0.66−$0.34
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.9700.555$0.57−$0.43

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-04 11:51Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?BUY0.25$1.00
07-03 14:12Will "Toy Story 5" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 42m?BUY0.66$1.00
07-03 11:30Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 7?BUY0.78$1.00
07-03 09:31NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
07-03 09:02NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-02 23:18Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
07-02 09:18Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 77m and 86m?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
07-02 09:17Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?BUY0.4899998285$1.00
07-02 02:38Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
07-01 20:33Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.54$1.00
06-30 21:31Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?BUY0.55$1.00
06-30 18:34Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
06-30 18:22Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
06-30 16:44Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?BUY0.999$1.00
06-30 16:13Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?BUY0.999$1.00