PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xAbdf3719f87EAb0d50D1910C69b23c694AA6cE74-1768651514426

0x897604fee28b95a3a546cd0ebb95f79737642a26

Realised P&L
$7.52
Volume
$192.06
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$53.19

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? · Yes0.5180.710$16.98+$4.58
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7900.745$14.90−$0.90
Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government? · Yes0.2990.364$10.93+$1.96
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2450.204$8.18−$1.62
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1650.055$2.20−$4.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 11:11Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.4599999387$1.80
09-09 07:51Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.5729999665$5.00
09-09 07:50Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.426$4.26
09-08 20:43NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$7.90
09-08 20:41Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.51$5.10
09-08 20:09Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.245$9.80
09-08 19:02Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 3:00PM-3:05PM ETBUY0.5299999587$5.00
09-08 18:43Will AfD win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.445$4.45
09-08 18:37Will BSW be in the next Sachsen-Anhalt state government?BUY0.299$8.97
09-08 18:33NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.79$7.90
09-08 18:32Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?BUY0.55$5.50
09-08 18:31Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?BUY0.16$3.20