MigrosP-Kasse
0x87e5fe81f46cb7ec85fad2ad0013188daabf775f
- Realised P&L
- $5.23
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $152.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.22at 0.697Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?
- +$7.65at 0.769Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$2.19at 0.766Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?
- +$1.74at 0.919Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
- +$1.73at 0.873France to score first vs. Paraguay?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-29 19:22 | Will the Federal decree of 19 June 2026 on additional funding for the AVS through an increase in VAT be approved in Switzerland’s November 29, 2026 popular vote? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-29 19:18 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 08-29 19:08 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.492 | $9.84 |
| 08-19 11:16 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.8039999973 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 22:52 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.8599999993 | $25.14 |
| 07-06 20:56 | Spain to score first vs. Portugal? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.10 |
| 07-06 20:55 | Spain to score first vs. Portugal? | SELL | 0.99 | $9.90 |
| 07-06 20:53 | Spain to score first vs. Portugal? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 01:05 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999678 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 00:45 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $2.64 |
| 07-06 00:44 | Will King Abdullah II attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony? | SELL | 0.991 | $10.65 |
| 07-06 00:44 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.74 |
| 07-05 15:50 | Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06? | BUY | 0.9711550267 | $14.00 |
| 07-04 22:49 | France to score first vs. Paraguay? | SELL | 0.999 | $13.78 |
| 07-04 21:19 | France to score first vs. Paraguay? | BUY | 0.87 | $12.00 |