RobbyMoon
0x87907543f81cc424f3754a753bba8f64a37e165a
- Realised P&L
- $-135.30
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $106.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.64at 0.171Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
- +$33.33at 0.210Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?
- +$31.90at 0.059Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$8.69at 0.670GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?
- +$3.95at 0.810Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-21 20:24 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2199999944 | $25.00 |
| 04-07 22:40 | Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.4109999886 | $12.37 |
| 04-05 15:14 | Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5? | BUY | 0.7889999306 | $9.75 |
| 04-05 15:14 | Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 04-05 15:02 | Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 04-05 15:01 | Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.0310935129 | $4.00 |
| 04-05 14:58 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 04-05 14:56 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 03-14 20:23 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 03-14 20:09 | Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $6.00 |
| 03-11 13:25 | Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? | BUY | 0.1705255843 | $10.00 |
| 02-21 12:36 | Will Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.4 | $8.90 |
| 02-21 12:35 | New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 17:24 | Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam? | BUY | 0.2099999861 | $10.00 |
| 02-20 17:08 | GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026? | SELL | 0.961 | $28.69 |