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Traders

RobbyMoon

0x87907543f81cc424f3754a753bba8f64a37e165a

Realised P&L
$-135.30
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$106.03

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample18 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · Yes0.2200.285$32.39+$7.39
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.160$22.79$27.21
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0870.282$16.27+$11.27
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.2000.077$9.63$15.38
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.3460.155$6.26$7.74
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · Yes0.4100.235$5.73$4.27
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.0700.031$4.43$5.57
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.1100.023$4.04$15.30
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2700.040$1.46$8.54
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.3600.160$1.44$1.80
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.027$1.35$4.65
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0510.003$0.24$4.75
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$30.00
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$5.00
Insurrection Act invoked by June 30? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-21 20:24Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?BUY0.2199999944$25.00
04-07 22:40Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?BUY0.4109999886$12.37
04-05 15:14Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?BUY0.7889999306$9.75
04-05 15:14Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
04-05 15:02Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?BUY0.409999991$10.00
04-05 15:01Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?BUY0.0310935129$4.00
04-05 14:58Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?BUY0.16$5.00
04-05 14:56US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.1499999887$10.00
03-14 20:23Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
03-14 20:09Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?BUY0.12$6.00
03-11 13:25Will Pam Bondi be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?BUY0.1705255843$10.00
02-21 12:36Will Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?BUY0.4$8.90
02-21 12:35New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
02-20 17:24Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Exam?BUY0.2099999861$10.00
02-20 17:08GPT-5.3 released by February 20, 2026?SELL0.961$28.69
Trader RobbyMoon · PolyBot Pro