PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

DECADEZERO

0x878f05d47b6b6a2dc9f542d661ed59c53cb108fd

Realised P&L
$-10.25
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
266
Open portfolio
$13.16

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded266
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Natural Disaster in 2026? · No0.5600.915$5.02+$1.95
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0000.502$2.33+$2.33
Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5? · Down0.1000.145$1.45+$0.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October? · No0.4700.575$1.22+$0.22
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? · No0.7200.845$1.17+$0.17
Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? · No0.6600.735$1.11+$0.11
Solana Up or Down on October 5? · Up0.4300.210$0.49−$0.51
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.6800.105$0.37−$2.03
Will Tesla reach $525 in January? · Yes0.0480.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2? · Up0.0010.000$0.00−$0.50
Solana Up or Down on April 11? · Down0.2020.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 31? · Up0.2750.000$0.00−$1.00
NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on March 23? · Down0.7200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 13? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$1.60
Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.6800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 01:36Solana Up or Down on October 5?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
10-03 12:12Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?BUY0.469999906$1.00
10-03 12:12Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?BUY0.6599997888$1.00
10-03 12:10Solana Up or Down on October 3?BUY0.7899998657$1.00
09-27 15:00Solana Up or Down on September 27?SELL0.453$1.13
09-27 03:07Solana Up or Down on September 27?BUY0.4$1.00
09-27 03:07Ethereum Up or Down on September 27?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-26 11:02Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.8199994588$1.00
09-26 11:02Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.77$1.00
09-26 11:01S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 28?BUY0.559999776$1.00
09-26 11:00Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.469999906$1.00
09-14 13:25Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?BUY0.4299998882$1.00
09-14 13:24Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
09-14 13:23Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?BUY0.7199999424$1.00
09-14 13:21Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on September 14?BUY0.4399998592$1.00