0x87593dDe0A778CdA72ca60C482e606d977BDa03D-1771063922390
0x87593dde0a778cda72ca60c482e606d977bda03d
- Realised P&L
- $-161.40
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $96.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.45at 0.110Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$36.67at 0.120Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?
- +$10.63at 0.320Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$10.15at 0.330Will Trump say "Greenland" during the State of the Union address?
- +$9.29at 0.350Will Trump say "Gulf of America" during the State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 06:46 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1559999842 | $7.00 |
| 07-01 12:05 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0179999944 | $3.11 |
| 05-15 13:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 13:13 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0519999897 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 13:13 | Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0919999817 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 13:13 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0869999847 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 13:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1659999774 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 13:13 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1739999724 | $5.00 |
| 05-15 13:12 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0229999954 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 09:10 | Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999867 | $12.00 |
| 03-10 09:10 | Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0569999894 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 09:07 | Will Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.2129031713 | $3.00 |
| 03-10 09:07 | Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 09:06 | Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 15) | BUY | 0.3001763536 | $5.00 |
| 03-10 08:55 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0340000001 | $10.00 |