PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x87593dDe0A778CdA72ca60C482e606d977BDa03D-1771063922390

0x87593dde0a778cda72ca60c482e606d977bda03d

Realised P&L
$-161.40
Volume
$12.7k
Markets traded
61
Open portfolio
$96.88

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded61
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1661.000$30.12+$25.12
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1800.117$13.06$6.94
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0480.021$12.81$17.19
Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.145$8.29$3.71
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes0.2200.325$7.39+$2.39
US x China Military clash before 2027? · Yes0.0500.044$4.40$0.60
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0090.004$3.89$6.11
China x Japan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1300.085$3.27$1.73
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$3.27$1.73
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.045$2.81$2.19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1100.040$1.80$3.20
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes0.2100.075$1.79$3.21
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · Yes0.2200.075$1.70$3.30
Human moon landing in 2026? · Yes0.0570.018$1.58$3.42
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0420.003$0.71$9.29

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-08 06:46Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1559999842$7.00
07-01 12:05Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0179999944$3.11
05-15 13:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
05-15 13:13Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0519999897$5.00
05-15 13:13Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0919999817$5.00
05-15 13:13Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0869999847$5.00
05-15 13:13Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1659999774$5.00
05-15 13:13Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1739999724$5.00
05-15 13:12Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0229999954$5.00
03-10 09:10Will Tesla release Optimus by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2099999867$12.00
03-10 09:10Will Tesla release Optimus by June 30, 2026?BUY0.0569999894$5.00
03-10 09:07Will Trump say "Radical Left" this week? (March 15)BUY0.2129031713$3.00
03-10 09:07Will Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week? (March 15)BUY0.3899999774$5.00
03-10 09:06Will Trump say "Rigged" or "Stolen" this week? (March 15)BUY0.3001763536$5.00
03-10 08:55Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0340000001$10.00
Trader 0x87593dDe0A778CdA72ca60C482e606d977BDa03D-1771063922390 · PolyBot