PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdafsafd

0x8513003fb03433512202f8fab9d473dfdcdb6a53

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$255.5k
Markets traded
8,388
Open portfolio
$446.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded8,388
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? · No0.5001.000$9.99+$5.00
Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · No0.6600.993$9.93+$3.33
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? · No0.8740.982$9.81+$1.07
Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary? · No0.9130.969$9.69+$0.56
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.964$9.64+$1.94
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · No0.9350.963$9.63+$0.28
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Dakota gubernatorial election by 25%-30%? · No0.7300.962$9.62+$2.32
Will Rafael Marín Mollinedo win the 2027 Quintana Roo Governor Election? · No0.8560.959$9.59+$1.02
Will Kerry-Lynne Findlay win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? · No0.8600.952$9.52+$0.92
US recession by end of 2026? · No0.8100.945$9.45+$1.35
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering? · Yes0.0900.913$9.13+$8.23
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? · No0.1200.890$8.90+$7.70
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.8010.845$8.45+$0.44
Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31? · No0.6600.825$8.25+$1.65
Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting? · No0.5800.800$8.00+$2.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-29 03:21Seahawks vs. ChiefsSELL0.5$51.36
08-21 06:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY0.65$3.25
08-21 06:02Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ETBUY0.36$1.80