PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tiancs

0x8301ba6b12c7872de2966375960ef12d628e3bdc

Realised P&L
$4.0k
Volume
$1.90M
Markets traded
27,742
Open portfolio
$73.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded27,742
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration46.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.333$16.65+$16.15
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? · Yes0.0100.168$8.38+$7.88
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.162$8.07+$7.58
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.119$5.97+$5.47
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.105$5.25+$4.75
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · No0.0100.584$4.50+$4.43
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.067$3.33+$2.83
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.052$2.62+$2.12
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0100.040$1.98+$1.48
Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? · Yes0.0100.037$1.88+$1.38
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.022$1.12+$0.62
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next? · Yes0.0100.017$0.82+$0.32
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next? · Yes0.0100.014$0.70+$0.20
Will Fernando Haddad finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0100.012$0.60+$0.10
Will Jack Della Maddalena be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.012$0.60+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:44XRP Up or Down - August 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.49$39.20
08-01 18:30Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSELL0.42$2.10
08-01 16:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.4$2.00
08-01 09:29Solana Up or Down - August 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSELL0.49$2.45
07-30 02:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSELL0.39$1.95
07-26 06:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSELL0.4$2.00
07-24 13:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSELL0.35$1.75
07-24 11:00Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSELL0.49$2.45
07-22 04:30Solana Up or Down - July 22, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSELL0.3995840266$33.62
07-21 08:15Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSELL0.42$2.10
07-21 07:45Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.48$2.40
07-21 06:45Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSELL0.43$2.15
07-20 16:15Dogecoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:15PM-12:30PM ETSELL0.27$1.35
07-20 05:30Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSELL0.44$2.20
07-20 05:16Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETBUY0.41$2.05