PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tiancs

0x8301ba6b12c7872de2966375960ef12d628e3bdc

Realised P&L
$4.2k
Volume
$1.90M
Markets traded
27,947
Open portfolio
$77.56

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded27,947
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration35.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.502$25.13+$24.63
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.303$15.15+$14.65
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.174$8.72+$8.22
Will Benoît Saint Denis fight Charles Oliveira next? · Yes0.0100.113$5.63+$5.13
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.079$3.95+$3.45
Will Justin Gaethje fight Charles Oliveira next? · Yes0.0100.072$3.32+$2.87
Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · No0.0100.412$3.18+$3.10
Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next? · Yes0.0100.037$1.88+$1.38
Hurupay FDV above $40M one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.029$1.48+$0.97
Hurupay FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.0100.026$1.32+$0.82
Will Jack Della Maddalena be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.013$0.67+$0.17
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.010$0.50+$0.00
Will Max Holloway be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.008$0.40$0.10
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0100.008$0.40$0.10
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0100.007$0.38$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:00XRP Up or Down - September 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSELL0.28$0.55
09-16 07:00Ethereum Up or Down - September 16, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSELL0.41$2.05
09-15 00:30Ethereum Up or Down - September 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSELL0.43$2.15
09-15 00:15Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:15PM-8:30PM ETSELL0.41$2.05
09-15 00:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSELL0.47$2.35
09-13 21:30Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ETSELL0.39$1.95
09-13 17:15Ethereum Up or Down - September 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ETSELL0.49$2.45
09-11 11:00Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSELL0.31$0.47
09-11 08:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSELL0.47$2.35
09-11 04:30Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSELL0.46$0.70
09-10 13:00Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.33$1.01
09-10 13:00XRP Up or Down - September 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSELL0.46$0.70
09-10 11:15Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ETSELL0.28$1.40
09-10 11:00Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSELL0.36$3.60
09-09 20:30Hyperliquid Up or Down - September 9, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETSELL0.27$0.83