Ebaroza112
0x82a5e1f33cdffa2c6f3108dee7081c4bd24f09db
- Realised P&L
- $-432.55
- Volume
- $22.0k
- Markets traded
- 73
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded73
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$35.38at 0.836Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
- +$30.38at 0.769UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$11.67at 0.300Moscow air traffic suspended by August 31?
- +$10.94at 0.806US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
- +$10.60at 0.654Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 07:40 | Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.2388059701 | $20.00 |
| 10-19 07:38 | Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $30.00 |
| 09-04 20:23 | UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) | SELL | 0.18 | $94.74 |
| 09-04 17:54 | UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 20:37 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.48 | $102.96 |
| 08-28 08:58 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 22:38 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0520000006 | $5.00 |
| 08-26 22:35 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.005 | $2.91 |
| 08-25 22:25 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0156493132 | $5.00 |
| 08-25 19:17 | Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0189999963 | $5.00 |
| 08-20 10:13 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.72 | $19.45 |
| 08-17 23:57 | Will Amir Ohana win the 2026 Likud party primary elections? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-17 13:32 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | SELL | 0.42 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 11:52 | Will Trump not endorse a Party in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.4199999899 | $10.00 |
| 08-17 11:50 | Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |