PolyBot

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Traders

curious.pangolin

0x82879ac272e405d6560bcb8ec5caf4920d838244

Realised P&L
$-3.18
Volume
$1.3k
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$37.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 04:01Will One Nation win the most seats in the next Victorian state election?SELL0.967$1.52
10-29 03:51Will Ben Carroll be the next Premier of Victoria?SELL0.901$1.03
10-28 02:35Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.48$1.00
10-28 01:51Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.4799998464$1.00
10-28 01:49Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.5$1.00
10-28 01:32Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.5$1.00
10-23 04:58Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.772$1.21
10-22 04:15Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.5629999792$1.00
10-12 23:08Will Ellen Sandell be the next Premier of Victoria?BUY0.0050396325$5.00
10-12 04:59Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in October?SELL0.6$3.00
10-09 03:28Will Ellen Sandell be the next Premier of Victoria?BUY0.001$0.02
10-08 00:29Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1509999975$3.00
10-07 02:53Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?BUY0.939999812$1.00
10-07 02:38Will Warren Pickering be the next Premier of Victoria?BUY0.0556671106$5.00
10-01 07:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.6329999323$1.00