0x81cb62d7df4bfb3f1709b7933ebe1af8b0687f28
0x81cb62d7df4bfb3f1709b7933ebe1af8b0687f28
- Realised P&L
- $-34.16
- Volume
- $707.74
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $47.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.30at 0.240Norway vs. England: Both Teams to Score in First Half
- +$1.95at 0.838Spread: France (-3.5)
- +$1.39at 0.175Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?
- +$1.22at 0.105Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
- +$1.16at 0.884Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 13:47 | Will Turkmenistan win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.019 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:56 | NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:54 | Trump renames AI by December 31? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:51 | Will China PR vs. Turkmenistan end in a draw? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:50 | Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:48 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3899999337 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 12:46 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 13:36 | Jimmy Lai released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.072 | $3.95 |
| 09-12 10:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.00 |
| 09-04 12:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4069998718 | $1.07 |
| 09-04 12:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998547 | $1.09 |
| 09-04 12:51 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1029999179 | $1.09 |