superwish
0x81c61ebc8eb22d98e97e26a4ea993c047fc28d4e
- Realised P&L
- $-228.09
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 747
- Open portfolio
- $29.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded747
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.36at 0.106Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.91at 0.359Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
- +$5.65at 0.207Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$4.75at 0.318Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
- +$4.60at 0.402Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 02:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 02:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 02:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 02:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $0.78 |
| 10-12 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.725999849 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 02:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.4099999535 | $3.00 |
| 10-12 02:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.423999922 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 02:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7309998333 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 01:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 01:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999489 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.219999978 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | SELL | 0.05 | $0.31 |
| 10-12 01:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9599996928 | $2.00 |