Donny.T
0x8190816855b676a5efd8c5b344135a72337bb247
- Realised P&L
- $28.0k
- Volume
- $3.40M
- Markets traded
- 904
- Open portfolio
- $162.5k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded904
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.066Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$4.6kat 0.954Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.911Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.9kat 0.943Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$1.7kat 0.624Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:16 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.95 | $475.00 |
| 11-01 11:06 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.9365454545 | $30.91 |
| 11-01 10:07 | Will Russia enter Kherson by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7949627175 | $134.33 |
| 11-01 09:04 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.9244189359 | $44.13 |
| 11-01 09:00 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.642 | $6.42 |
| 10-31 17:49 | Plague case in US by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $374.29 |
| 10-30 13:22 | Flávio Bolsonaro charged or arrested by October 31? | SELL | 0.992021926 | $226.22 |
| 10-29 21:30 | Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 10-29 21:24 | Yoon out of custody before 2027? | SELL | 0.975 | $709.53 |
| 10-29 21:20 | Will Melania Trump visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 10-29 21:16 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 10-29 17:14 | Will Aleksandar Vučić become Serbian PM and Iliana Iotova win Bulgaria? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.01 |
| 10-28 21:54 | Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $369.00 |
| 10-28 14:37 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 10-28 14:10 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.2k |