PolyBot

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Traders

Donny.T

0x8190816855b676a5efd8c5b344135a72337bb247

Realised P&L
$30.8k
Volume
$2.95M
Markets traded
807
Open portfolio
$157.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded807
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 22:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 10%?SELL0.996$39.94
09-12 22:12Macron out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.962$938.25
09-12 15:58Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.322$0.32
09-12 15:54Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by December 31?SELL0.46$23.00
09-09 19:49Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.78$43.39
09-06 15:15Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.89$41.45
09-04 23:20Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.88$29.64
09-04 15:22Will Russia invade another country in 2026?BUY0.93$329.56
09-04 03:13Will AfD win the most seats in 2 German state elections in September 2026?SELL0.81$8.10
09-04 03:13Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.78$78.00
09-04 03:12Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?SELL0.78$496.56
09-03 14:54Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?SELL0.6705555556$12.07
09-02 23:42Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?SELL0.991$493.31
09-02 23:41Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?SELL0.99$207.90
08-29 22:24Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.968$387.20