0x8137Bf1FdEa6896F88805c71a7D00347dBFd34f1-1772314873464
0x8137bf1fdea6896f88805c71a7d00347dbfd34f1
- Realised P&L
- $-347.56
- Volume
- $46.9k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $121.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.02at 0.410US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
- +$13.56at 0.129Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$13.00at 0.485Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?
- +$11.00at 0.845US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
- +$10.72at 0.464US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-18 23:54 | Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.0344557783 | $5.00 |
| 08-18 23:54 | Iran coup attempt by December 31? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-11 19:45 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.057 | $2.11 |
| 08-11 19:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.135 | $8.18 |
| 08-01 22:24 | Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 22:20 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0409999923 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 22:08 | Israel military action against Yemen by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 08-01 18:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 08-01 18:30 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.22 |
| 07-29 06:49 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31? | BUY | 0.0882352791 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 06:47 | Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0609999879 | $5.00 |
| 07-28 14:00 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31? | SELL | 0.0403058306 | $1.83 |
| 07-27 21:58 | Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 20:58 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-27 20:57 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31? | BUY | 0.0209999958 | $5.00 |