PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x8137Bf1FdEa6896F88805c71a7D00347dBFd34f1-1772314873464

0x8137bf1fdea6896f88805c71a7d00347dbfd34f1

Realised P&L
$-347.56
Volume
$46.9k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$121.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.6630.685$57.97+$1.87
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0650.177$9.54+$6.06
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.055$7.86$12.14
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1300.080$6.15$3.85
Will the Democratic Party win the ND-AL House seat? · Yes0.0590.035$5.89$4.11
Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · No0.0340.039$5.66+$0.66
Iran coup attempt by December 31? · Yes0.0900.095$5.28+$0.28
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0400.057$4.93+$1.43
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0410.038$4.70$0.30
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1800.077$4.31$5.69
Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0600.045$3.75$1.25
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0400.009$2.38$7.63
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? · Yes0.2410.055$2.28$7.72
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? · Yes0.0440.003$0.69$9.31
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0630.003$0.39$9.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-18 23:54Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat?BUY0.0344557783$5.00
08-18 23:54Iran coup attempt by December 31?BUY0.0899999845$5.00
08-11 19:45Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.057$2.11
08-11 19:45Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.135$8.18
08-01 22:24Will Boston Celtics win the 2027 NBA Finals?BUY0.059999989$5.00
08-01 22:20Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.0409999923$5.00
08-01 22:08Israel military action against Yemen by July 31?SELL0.001$0.04
08-01 18:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.002$0.09
08-01 18:30Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.13$5.22
07-29 06:49Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?BUY0.0882352791$5.00
07-29 06:47Will Iran target Ukraine by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0609999879$5.00
07-28 14:00Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?SELL0.0403058306$1.83
07-27 21:58Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
07-27 20:58Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by August 31?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-27 20:57Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?BUY0.0209999958$5.00