PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hdm656151

0x8110ff75ab273d75f3411fe8f050b223fbbcfd53

Realised P&L
$-179.19
Volume
$11.6k
Markets traded
321
Open portfolio
$130.96

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded321
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · No0.9100.885$97.25−$2.75
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.3860.510$13.23+$3.23
Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez · Mirra Andreeva0.7700.765$9.94−$0.06
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2140.153$7.17−$2.83
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1680.026$1.58−$8.42
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.4460.051$1.13−$8.87
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2500.017$0.66−$9.34
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20? · No0.7500.000$0.00−$10.00
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.6620.000$0.00−$70.34
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Under0.8500.000$0.00−$10.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.3750.000$0.00−$5.00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? · No0.7700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2310.000$0.00−$2.00
US Open WTA: Madison Keys vs Qinwen Zheng · Madison Keys0.6100.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:22Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah FernandezBUY0.7699999992$10.00
09-24 12:26Will Denmark win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.7799999938$20.00
09-20 15:35Will Fulham FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.7399999911$20.00
09-20 15:16Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.75$10.00
09-20 14:27Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.7699999992$10.00
09-20 14:10Will Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?BUY0.16$1.00
09-20 13:41Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?BUY0.3399999773$3.00
09-20 13:28AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.8899999996$20.00
09-19 14:47Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.7399999734$10.00
09-19 14:32Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.5899999841$10.00
09-19 12:49Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?BUY0.539999986$10.00
09-19 12:16Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.8499999915$10.00
09-18 13:54Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?BUY0.7599999848$10.00
09-18 13:53Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?BUY0.64$10.00
09-13 13:43Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-13?BUY0.699999993$20.00