0x804eeB72e9C2F651013302DF201a31A500e818b4-1769623005268
0x804eeb72e9c2f651013302df201a31a500e818b4
- Realised P&L
- $-8.26
- Volume
- $183.65
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $51.50
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.43at 0.636Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$2.94at 0.630Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$1.86at 0.350Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$1.00at 0.500Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 41.0 on March 13, 2026?
- +$0.65at 0.607Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 18:09 | Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.719999856 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 18:09 | Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 05-16 18:54 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.449999955 | $5.00 |
| 05-09 16:51 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 05-09 16:50 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.9379990751 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 16:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8499994475 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 16:42 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 16:41 | Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 16:41 | Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.886999576 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 16:37 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | SELL | 0.34 | $1.58 |
| 04-16 16:37 | Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 03-30 22:34 | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BUY | 0.962 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 10:29 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 10:47 | Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 03-25 10:45 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |