PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x804eeB72e9C2F651013302DF201a31A500e818b4-1769623005268

0x804eeb72e9c2f651013302df201a31a500e818b4

Realised P&L
$-8.26
Volume
$183.65
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$51.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 18:09Will Édouard Philippe advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.719999856$1.00
06-02 18:09Will Jordan Bardella advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
05-16 18:54Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.449999955$5.00
05-09 16:51Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.9399996992$1.00
05-09 16:50Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.9379990751$1.00
04-16 16:42Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.8499994475$1.00
04-16 16:42Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
04-16 16:41Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$1.00
04-16 16:41Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.886999576$1.00
04-16 16:372026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseSELL0.34$1.58
04-16 16:37Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?SELL0.001$0.00
03-30 22:34Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.962$1.00
03-28 10:29Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
03-25 10:47Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?BUY0.3599998704$1.00
03-25 10:45Starmer out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3299997822$1.00