PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tradingdecs

0x7fc6e183e48e2f7658cd825ff4f40e44e9327306

Realised P&L
$-20.4k
Volume
$1.98M
Markets traded
589
Open portfolio
$2.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded589
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0700.021$1.4k−$3.5k
Ebola pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0830.025$326.60−$783.21
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.2860.315$201.58+$18.80
Will China have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3600.111$113.55−$256.90
Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3110.235$107.86−$34.91
Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes0.3410.200$68.40−$48.20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.085$51.00−$69.00
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.3460.034$48.62−$446.27
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1920.183$45.75−$2.25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.1120.432$32.44+$24.04
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.2400.045$22.50−$97.50
Will Canada have an Ebola case in 2026? · No0.7170.685$19.18−$0.90
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1000.039$15.60−$24.40
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0110.005$13.75−$13.75
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0900.045$9.00−$9.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-11 21:19US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.95$404.70
07-29 18:49Will Warsh say "Dollar" during July Press Conference?SELL0.991$39.63
07-29 18:45Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?SELL0.13$1.43
07-29 18:45Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?SELL0.14$1.11
07-29 18:36Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?BUY0.15$3.00
07-29 18:33Will Warsh say "Dissent" during July Press Conference?BUY0.3000534125$5.06
07-29 18:28Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0198833333$35.79
07-29 18:27Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.018$36.00
07-29 17:18Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.298$22.35
07-29 17:16Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.28$14.00
07-29 17:13Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?BUY0.57$15.39
07-27 16:36US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?SELL0.963$288.94
07-25 17:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?SELL0.37$37.00
07-23 20:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.014$14.00
07-23 20:15Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.51$265.25