PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flyeveryday

0x7f5ba66cdaa0d30dc395b67ec6292aed8b1cb993

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$441.3k
Markets traded
494
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded494
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7840.935$2.5k+$401.60
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · No0.8771.000$396.66+$48.71
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$351.06$14.04
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? · No0.9301.000$186.30+$13.04
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · No0.8700.845$44.08$1.30
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.5500.954$35.22+$14.92
Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by June 30? · No0.9001.000$27.69+$2.77
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1900.065$23.70$45.57
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.4100.037$22.11$219.91
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.966$21.83+$4.43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.9000.935$15.28+$0.57
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.6470.115$11.08$51.29
US strike on Mexico by December 31? · No0.6300.925$7.50+$2.39
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? · No0.5270.500$7.32$0.39
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.9000.088$6.62$61.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-13 03:52US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$4.85
01-13 03:49US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.16
01-13 03:49US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.01
01-13 03:49US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.16
01-13 03:47US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.22
01-13 03:46US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.04
01-13 03:45US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.65
01-13 03:44US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.45
01-13 03:44US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$1.29
01-13 03:43US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.06
01-13 03:42US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.09
01-13 03:36US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.04
01-13 03:34US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.40
01-13 03:33US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.20
01-13 03:31US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?SELL0.72$0.01