LuckyOctopus
0x7f4801e36f4d0681c06d0a663ed8812e1df0ec6e
- Realised P&L
- $47.95
- Volume
- $4.3k
- Markets traded
- 171
- Open portfolio
- $450.38
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded171
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.43at 0.210US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?
- +$24.51at 0.648Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$21.05at 0.327Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$19.93at 0.601Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
- +$18.79at 0.515Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.00 |
| 10-01 06:15 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 06:13 | Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 06:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.729999954 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 06:10 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.8799999859 | $5.00 |
| 10-01 05:59 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-01 05:58 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-29 16:36 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6999999854 | $4.80 |
| 09-29 16:35 | Will Putin and Zelenskyy not meet by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.699999916 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 12:03 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.5192307493 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 12:01 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 11:57 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999821 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 11:54 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 11:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.7899999968 | $20.00 |
| 09-29 11:51 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | SELL | 0.998 | $65.41 |