0x7f0D69E3Be39E8929dC44C1CE2241A0936f79965-1771768214198
0x7f0d69e3be39e8929dc44c1ce2241a0936f79965
- Realised P&L
- $51.64
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $194.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.34at 0.777Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$7.20at 0.410Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$5.86at 0.480Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?
- +$5.20at 0.490US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?
- +$4.68at 0.572Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:23 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 10-03 14:14 | Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.66 | $3.30 |
| 10-03 13:47 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 12:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-02 12:05 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.72 | $7.20 |
| 10-02 11:48 | US strike on Colombia by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 10-02 11:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999775 | $3.00 |
| 10-02 07:37 | Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.26 |
| 10-02 07:36 | Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.14 |
| 10-02 06:52 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.47 | $4.70 |
| 10-02 06:52 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 09-30 17:28 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 09-30 17:25 | Will Mark Rutte visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 17:25 | Will Ursula von der Leyen visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999345 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 17:24 | Will Friedrich Merz visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |