0x8Cb25E16F2F0893C1bd4d7077325BD4a3b4AdCf5-1774682577191
0x7d93bcb1bad9d0fb2f7cb774715a3f005523fdef
- Realised P&L
- $13.7k
- Volume
- $1.02M
- Markets traded
- 8,319
- Open portfolio
- $8.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded8,319
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.0kat 0.412Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
- +$4.8kat 0.605Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$3.0kat 0.490Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$2.5kat 0.772Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$2.4kat 0.625Noche UFC: Tommy McMillen vs. Marwan Rahiki (Featherweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 04:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.51 | $23.65 |
| 09-21 04:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.51 | $2.55 |
| 09-21 04:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in September? | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 09-21 04:04 | Querétaro FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.878554 | $43.93 |
| 09-21 03:49 | Exact Score: Querétaro FC 2 - 1 Club León FC? | BUY | 0.2 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 03:40 | Exact Score: Querétaro FC 3 - 1 Club León FC? | BUY | 0.052 | $1.56 |
| 09-21 03:39 | Exact Score: Querétaro FC 1 - 3 Club León FC? | BUY | 0.038 | $1.14 |
| 09-21 03:34 | Querétaro FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $33.00 |
| 09-21 03:32 | Querétaro FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.77 | $10.01 |
| 09-21 03:25 | Querétaro FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 03:19 | Exact Score: Querétaro FC 1 - 2 Club León FC? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 09-21 02:58 | Exact Score: Querétaro FC 1 - 2 Club León FC? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.80 |
| 09-21 02:56 | Exact Score: Querétaro FC 2 - 2 Club León FC? | BUY | 0.031 | $0.37 |
| 09-21 02:15 | CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Tigre: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.02247 | $1.12 |
| 09-21 02:02 | Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.05 | $2.13 |