PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

th0rgal

0x7c7a328a2bd01af54a1b793992a25737bd00621e

Realised P&L
$-44.59
Volume
$16.7k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$156.50

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 19:44Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in September?BUY0.46$6.73
08-16 20:45Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.037$3.70
08-15 17:42Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?SELL0.03$1.50
08-15 11:22Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 15, 2026?BUY0.144$7.20
04-21 18:45Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?BUY0.07$21.00
03-06 09:00Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?BUY0.038$19.00
03-06 08:16US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.59$88.50
03-06 08:14US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY0.59$29.50
03-06 08:13Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.24$9.60
03-06 08:10Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?BUY0.7$70.00
07-07 04:48Biden drops out of presidential race?BUY0.42$112.56