0x7b30D19A31fCe8aD82541842b15aE41BBA521eEE-1768392059085
0x7b30d19a31fce8ad82541842b15ae41bba521eee
- Realised P&L
- $261.29
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$93.30at 0.576Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$61.80at 0.794Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
- +$45.49at 0.760Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
- +$43.50at 0.826Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
- +$36.86at 0.078Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 10:06 | Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | SELL | 0.72 | $35.99 |
| 07-17 09:20 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.986 | $78.88 |
| 07-06 09:15 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.57 | $57.00 |
| 06-20 18:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.126 | $1.26 |
| 06-20 18:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.127 | $1.27 |
| 06-20 18:17 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.128 | $1.28 |
| 06-12 18:23 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $45.00 |
| 06-03 17:46 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.886 | $88.59 |
| 05-30 15:03 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 05-02 15:23 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 05-01 14:14 | Will Freiburg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.854 | $59.78 |
| 05-01 14:10 | Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? | BUY | 0.837 | $23.60 |
| 04-28 09:22 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 04-23 12:25 | Iran leadership change by May 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 04-22 08:35 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? | BUY | 0.091 | $1.58 |