telloier
0x795bda782206377a0861dbf6e7f1c2f7a086623a
- Realised P&L
- $463.13
- Volume
- $191.1k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $188.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.002 | $176.57 | +$14.59 |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.185 | $11.19 | +$1.51 |
| Will Scott Bessent be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.040 | $0.40 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.00at 0.280US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$205.44at 0.360US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$150.10at 0.810Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$62.00at 0.550US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$25.00at 0.050Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-19 17:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.0166035478 | $209.98 |
| 08-18 23:46 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.0126569079 | $192.39 |
| 08-18 20:30 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.0216470945 | $29.29 |
| 08-11 03:08 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.04039912 | $40.40 |
| 08-05 05:34 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 16:50 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.86 |