telloier
0x795bda782206377a0861dbf6e7f1c2f7a086623a
- Realised P&L
- $373.76
- Volume
- $424.5k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$210.00at 0.280US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
- +$205.44at 0.360US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?
- +$150.10at 0.810Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
- +$62.00at 0.550US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?
- +$25.00at 0.050Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-22 15:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 10-14 13:12 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.51 | $848.46 |
| 10-14 04:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.1688474744 | $208.02 |
| 10-12 15:55 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.06 | $252.00 |
| 09-30 23:12 | Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $100.00 |
| 09-30 14:42 | Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.001 | $100.00 |
| 09-18 13:56 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.0452381406 | $9.50 |
| 08-19 17:49 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.0166035478 | $209.98 |
| 08-18 23:46 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.0126569079 | $192.39 |
| 08-18 20:30 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.0216470945 | $29.29 |
| 08-11 03:08 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | SELL | 0.04039912 | $40.40 |
| 08-05 05:34 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 16:50 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $2.86 |