AboutTime
0x789a4c347bdfb52d8772fa8225917cbfc13a1dda
- Realised P&L
- $-4.8k
- Volume
- $1.24M
- Markets traded
- 4,623
- Open portfolio
- $978.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,623
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.123Mensik vs. Choinski: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- +$2.5kat 0.330Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.6kat 0.203Mensik vs. Choinski: Match O/U 22.5
- +$517.50at 0.080Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$506.40at 0.534Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 21:50 | Will "Resident Evil" score at least 98 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? | BUY | 0.9545945946 | $35.32 |
| 09-16 15:20 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.10 |
| 09-16 15:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.992 | $59.52 |
| 09-15 10:36 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 09-14 23:34 | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $57.96 |
| 09-13 14:49 | GTA VI released by November 30? | BUY | 0.9321299382 | $59.22 |
| 09-12 20:43 | Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $99.45 |
| 09-12 17:10 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.994 | $59.64 |
| 09-12 17:10 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480? | SELL | 0.991 | $90.84 |
| 09-11 14:48 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 09-11 07:52 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 09-11 06:01 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.99 | $59.40 |
| 09-09 22:23 | Israel military action against Greater Beirut by September 30? | BUY | 0.1499999925 | $1.00 |
| 09-09 21:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-09 21:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |