AboutTime
0x789a4c347bdfb52d8772fa8225917cbfc13a1dda
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $1.25M
- Markets traded
- 4,692
- Open portfolio
- $662.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,692
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.123Mensik vs. Choinski: Total Sets O/U 2.5
- +$2.5kat 0.330Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$1.6kat 0.203Mensik vs. Choinski: Match O/U 22.5
- +$517.50at 0.080Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$359.64at 0.1000 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 22:22 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.127 | $2.54 |
| 10-29 22:09 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.1997857423 | $55.94 |
| 10-29 22:07 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.2289999595 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 22:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? | BUY | 0.2808851477 | $1.00 |
| 10-29 22:05 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2346700976 | $15.00 |
| 10-27 22:51 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.86 | $61.06 |
| 10-27 22:43 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8491443362 | $59.92 |
| 10-27 22:33 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.08 | $71.08 |
| 10-27 22:32 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.09 | $79.97 |
| 10-27 22:27 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.62 | $52.93 |
| 10-27 22:01 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.888 | $57.72 |
| 10-27 21:56 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.9139999978 | $59.80 |
| 10-27 20:52 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6999999965 | $59.76 |
| 10-27 20:36 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.919 | $61.01 |
| 10-27 20:29 | Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.8966987899 | $59.54 |