0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aE
0x77266604e63f5caf08d19caebae0c563ce064aee
- Realised P&L
- $51.6k
- Volume
- $1.57M
- Markets traded
- 316
- Open portfolio
- $21.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded316
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.2kat 0.253Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
- +$8.1kat 0.027Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?
- +$6.2kat 0.037Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 22?
- +$5.9kat 0.025Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
- +$5.1kat 0.347Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 23:15 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3875742903 | $122.47 |
| 09-14 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 14? | BUY | 0.8 | $121.70 |
| 09-13 21:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.8700210183 | $4.1k |
| 09-13 19:52 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7899145211 | $462.05 |
| 09-12 18:06 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | SELL | 0.2662962963 | $107.85 |
| 09-12 08:43 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.3890825688 | $424.10 |
| 09-12 08:35 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | SELL | 0.5702451401 | $232.62 |
| 09-11 11:22 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.0k |
| 09-07 20:16 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.59 | $1.2k |
| 09-07 04:05 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $3.8k |
| 09-07 04:02 | Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | BUY | 0.82 | $3.8k |
| 09-03 02:12 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.393004303 | $2.1k |
| 08-31 17:48 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.58 | $712.01 |
| 08-31 10:47 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $501.85 |
| 08-31 10:45 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.5k |