0x7618fcaa5034fe22bee47600e049aab50155e714
- Realised P&L
- $-323.43
- Volume
- $6.3k
- Markets traded
- 58
- Open portfolio
- $303.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded58
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)29.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.10at 0.038Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$3.75at 0.580Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.91at 0.929Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
- +$1.34at 0.974Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
- +$1.34at 0.940Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 06:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.8699999997 | $33.89 |
| 09-15 06:31 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | SELL | 0.995 | $30.83 |
| 09-11 08:45 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.7104346566 | $24.52 |
| 09-09 16:59 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.148 | $17.13 |
| 09-08 09:49 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | SELL | 0.81 | $25.42 |
| 09-03 22:23 | Will Missouri use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.7899999923 | $20.52 |
| 09-03 16:16 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $28.99 |
| 09-03 16:15 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.93 | $34.23 |
| 09-02 20:14 | Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.86 | $35.23 |
| 09-01 10:34 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 15? | BUY | 0.9875751102 | $30.60 |
| 08-29 21:47 | Will Nwifuru Francis Ogbonna win the 2027 Ebonyi State gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.84 | $26.36 |
| 08-26 11:38 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999951 | $34.61 |
| 08-24 21:42 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.65 | $24.36 |
| 08-23 21:33 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6799999957 | $25.48 |
| 08-23 18:23 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.08 | $3.79 |