PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Cupzey

0x750d5d6a820f58ace3123a165122170be44dc7f2

Realised P&L
$5.8k
Volume
$314.4k
Markets traded
511
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded511
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.425$765.29+$709.02
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · No0.8600.845$338.00$6.00
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No0.8400.845$251.06+$1.37
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · No0.8000.795$159.00$1.00
Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9980.999$4.60+$0.00
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.64
Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.64
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.64
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.64
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.64
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.64
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.48
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.48
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.48
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0310.001$3.78$232.48

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 16:28Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$1.00
09-17 16:27Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.001$1.00
09-17 15:07Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.98830644$988.31
09-17 03:38Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$399.60
09-17 03:34Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$399.60
09-17 03:33Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$199.60
09-17 03:32Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.989$197.80
09-16 21:57Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.998$199.60
09-16 21:56Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.987$197.40
09-15 21:18Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?SELL0.83$74.00
09-15 17:16Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.78$19.50
09-15 06:02Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?BUY0.68$27.20
09-11 15:52Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$599.40
09-11 15:51Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$599.40
09-11 15:51Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$299.70
Trader Cupzey · PolyBot Pro