trump-zbc
0x74bb737bf5e9f020309fac5c16439bec8a613b52
- Realised P&L
- $-277.93
- Volume
- $95.7k
- Markets traded
- 180
- Open portfolio
- $309.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded180
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.383 | 0.810 | $106.11 | +$55.92 |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.396 | 0.971 | $88.32 | +$52.28 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.031 | $35.46 | −$159.02 |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.435 | 0.042 | $33.01 | −$309.21 |
| H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.038 | $18.85 | −$49.68 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.330 | 0.215 | $16.34 | −$8.74 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.027 | $6.90 | −$28.87 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.287 | 0.042 | $2.48 | −$14.44 |
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.225 | 0.013 | $0.86 | −$14.68 |
| OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.033 | $0.82 | −$7.42 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · Yes | 0.293 | 0.024 | $0.48 | −$5.38 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.005 | $0.20 | −$6.20 |
| Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.296New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels
- +$534.37at 0.347Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$523.74at 0.726New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$489.19at 0.290GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$392.04at 0.432EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 06:04 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June? | SELL | 0.072 | $0.86 |
| 06-10 06:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.32 |
| 06-10 06:03 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.377 | $0.75 |
| 06-02 12:32 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.46 | $113.81 |
| 05-19 13:27 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.3756534974 | $145.00 |
| 05-19 13:27 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? | BUY | 0.51 | $153.00 |
| 05-19 03:43 | Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference? | BUY | 0.28 | $84.00 |
| 05-19 03:43 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.3987489333 | $119.62 |
| 05-19 03:43 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.4959232427 | $474.10 |
| 05-18 12:35 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.34 | $278.12 |
| 05-18 01:47 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | SELL | 0.09 | $48.69 |
| 05-18 00:56 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.28 | $23.24 |
| 05-18 00:40 | Cavaliers vs. Pistons | BUY | 0.51 | $233.58 |
| 05-17 21:29 | Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.918 | $18.36 |
| 05-16 15:35 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |