PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Wawa...

0x73972affc16667672530a63ea6451def29281968

Realised P&L
$-556.37
Volume
$219.2k
Markets traded
1,707
Open portfolio
$154.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,707
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2670.125$55.41$62.89
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2980.155$29.72$27.35
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · Yes0.0950.125$23.13+$5.53
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? · Yes0.2390.075$11.02$24.15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2860.165$7.15$5.25
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1700.145$5.80$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4900.225$4.50$5.30
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? · Yes0.1170.040$2.96$5.69
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · No0.0320.016$2.88$2.88
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.2800.135$2.70$2.90
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.1100.045$1.80$2.60
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? · Yes0.0900.055$1.65$1.05
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.1310.045$1.57$3.02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.075$1.50$5.70
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? · Yes0.0380.004$1.23$12.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 18:47Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.027$2.16
09-08 02:17US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?SELL0.62$5.85
09-08 02:11Iran full airspace closure by September 30?BUY0.11$4.40
09-08 02:07Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.039$4.68
09-07 16:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.529999965$5.00
09-06 04:20Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30?BUY0.08$2.00
09-05 02:10US Open WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Anna KalinskayaBUY0.43$8.60
09-05 02:07Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.34$20.40
09-05 02:06Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.73$80.30
08-22 22:32Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga SwiatekBUY0.39$1.95
08-22 01:36St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia PhilliesBUY0.38$3.80
08-20 23:26Cincinnati Open: Iga Swiatek vs Elena RybakinaBUY0.22$11.00
08-20 06:14ITF W35 Bistrita Women: Patricia Georgiana Goina vs Marie MettrauxBUY0.3599999904$15.00
08-20 01:37Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-19?BUY0.55$27.50
08-19 23:56Cincinnati Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-AliassimeBUY0.66$13.20