PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

EricaXBT

0x73836f35d84a6080ebe035195be41ba114d4bd0b

Realised P&L
$24.2k
Volume
$7.42M
Markets traded
208
Open portfolio
$193.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded208
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8170.945$169.7k+$23.0k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? · No0.9991.000$21.0k+$21.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9110.981$980.50+$69.50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.8860.960$959.79+$73.27
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No0.7370.905$555.47+$103.06
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0090.003$209.93$518.54
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No0.9870.987$98.70+$0.00
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.8700.905$90.50+$3.50
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2120.090$75.24$101.87
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1200.095$6.08$1.60
Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$1.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 03:03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.999$1.1k
07-23 03:03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.999$17.3k
07-23 03:03Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?BUY0.999$2.6k
07-16 11:40Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?BUY0.987$98.70
07-03 07:22Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3?BUY0.999$99.90
06-29 04:47Trump out as President by July 31?BUY0.012$0.06
06-07 02:50Trump out as President by June 30?BUY0.009$1.01
05-19 04:46Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.92$92.00
05-01 08:53Trump out as President by May 31?BUY0.011$11.00
04-07 01:48Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?BUY0.86$74.82
04-07 01:48Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?BUY0.12$10.44
04-01 04:00Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?BUY0.999$2.3k
03-31 12:03Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?BUY0.999$999.00
03-30 09:35Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?BUY0.999$15.0k
03-30 09:35Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?BUY0.998$99.80