EricaXBT
0x73836f35d84a6080ebe035195be41ba114d4bd0b
- Realised P&L
- $24.2k
- Volume
- $7.42M
- Markets traded
- 208
- Open portfolio
- $193.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded208
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration87.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.817 | 0.945 | $169.7k | +$23.0k |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $21.0k | +$21.00 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.911 | 0.981 | $980.50 | +$69.50 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.886 | 0.960 | $959.79 | +$73.27 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.737 | 0.905 | $555.47 | +$103.06 |
| Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.003 | $209.93 | −$518.54 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.987 | $98.70 | +$0.00 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.905 | $90.50 | +$3.50 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.212 | 0.090 | $75.24 | −$101.87 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.095 | $6.08 | −$1.60 |
| Trump out as President by July 31? · Yes | 0.012 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.011Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$1.9kat 0.366Bitcoin Up or Down on February 9?
- +$1.7kat 0.663Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 11?
- +$973.02at 0.714Bitcoin Up or Down on February 8?
- +$875.53at 0.009Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 03:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.1k |
| 07-23 03:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.3k |
| 07-23 03:03 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.6k |
| 07-16 11:40 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 07-03 07:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 06-29 04:47 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.012 | $0.06 |
| 06-07 02:50 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $1.01 |
| 05-19 04:46 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $92.00 |
| 05-01 08:53 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.011 | $11.00 |
| 04-07 01:48 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $74.82 |
| 04-07 01:48 | Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $10.44 |
| 04-01 04:00 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.3k |
| 03-31 12:03 | Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $999.00 |
| 03-30 09:35 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.0k |
| 03-30 09:35 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $99.80 |