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Traders

miniak

0x736583b8d21db80f423ce57f2c134d62117c61b0

Realised P&L
$7.12
Volume
$569.63
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$92.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.4600.835$9.08+$4.08
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5550.595$8.58+$0.58
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.6630.465$7.01$2.99
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6580.895$6.80+$1.80
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8630.915$6.36+$0.36
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6800.705$5.18+$0.18
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8500.865$5.09+$0.09
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6330.835$2.64+$0.64
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.7900.825$2.09+$0.09
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.9100.905$1.99$0.01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6100.935$1.53+$0.53
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.6600.890$1.35+$0.35
Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes0.5800.740$1.28+$0.28
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7500.945$1.26+$0.26
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? · Meta0.6500.815$1.25+$0.25

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 09:37Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?BUY0.78$1.00
07-12 09:37Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
07-12 09:34Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
07-12 09:31Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.6763476918$1.00
07-12 09:25Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
07-12 09:23Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
07-12 09:22Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7$1.00
06-30 23:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
06-30 23:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.7$1.00
06-30 22:59Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.71399991$1.00
06-30 22:57Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.6$1.00
06-30 22:56Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8599998762$5.00
06-30 22:55Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
06-30 22:54Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?BUY0.9609999962$1.00
06-30 22:54Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?BUY0.859999914$1.00