miniak
0x736583b8d21db80f423ce57f2c134d62117c61b0
- Realised P&L
- $7.12
- Volume
- $569.63
- Markets traded
- 213
- Open portfolio
- $92.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded213
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.19at 0.139Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$3.67at 0.200Another critical Cloudflare incident by December 31?
- +$2.33at 0.300U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
- +$2.14at 0.700Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026?
- +$1.77at 0.530Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 09:37 | Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 09:37 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8799995072 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 09:34 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 07-12 09:31 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.6763476918 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 09:25 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 09:23 | Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 09:22 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 23:02 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 23:01 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 22:59 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.71399991 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 22:57 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 22:56 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.8599998762 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 22:55 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 22:54 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100? | BUY | 0.9609999962 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 22:54 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |