PolyBot

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Traders

miniak

0x736583b8d21db80f423ce57f2c134d62117c61b0

Realised P&L
$2.80
Volume
$530.95
Markets traded
213
Open portfolio
$92.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded213
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.5550.755$10.88+$2.88
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.4600.962$10.45+$5.45
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? · Yes0.6630.680$10.25+$0.25
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.6580.950$7.21+$2.21
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6800.755$5.55+$0.55
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8500.935$5.50+$0.50
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.8630.550$3.82−$2.18
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6330.961$3.04+$1.04
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · No0.7900.956$2.42+$0.42
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? · No0.9100.915$2.01+$0.01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · No0.6100.935$1.53+$0.53
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? · Yes0.6600.999$1.51+$0.51
OpenAI vs Meta — higher valuation on December 31? · Meta0.6500.930$1.43+$0.43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6200.845$1.36+$0.36
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.7500.980$1.31+$0.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-12 09:37Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by December 31?BUY0.78$1.00
07-12 09:37Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8799995072$1.00
07-12 09:34Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
07-12 09:31Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.6763476918$1.00
07-12 09:25Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
07-12 09:23Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
07-12 09:22Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7$1.00
06-30 23:02Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.8299999087$1.00
06-30 23:01Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.7$1.00
06-30 22:59Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?BUY0.71399991$1.00
06-30 22:57Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?BUY0.6$1.00
06-30 22:56Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY0.8599998762$5.00
06-30 22:55Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?BUY0.8799999648$1.00
06-30 22:54Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1100?BUY0.9609999962$1.00
06-30 22:54Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1300?BUY0.859999914$1.00