PolyBot

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Traders

LukiB

0x730da7d292794217736d5e4c4653c6cf0473d448

Realised P&L
$11.8k
Volume
$641.8k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$47.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9380.963$10.9k+$273.56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.9400.945$7.6k+$40.00
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · No0.9720.975$4.9k+$12.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.9200.925$4.6k+$25.00
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8400.840$3.9k+$0.00
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8520.964$3.0k+$347.65
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.6370.870$2.8k+$755.96
Will Harry Kane finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.9700.975$2.6k+$12.15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7710.845$2.5k+$222.01
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes0.7900.760$1.9k−$75.00
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.6700.875$1.3k+$307.51
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? · No0.8100.925$924.99+$115.00
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No0.8600.930$837.00+$63.00
Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9890.989$34.60−$0.02
Will Trump Insult Xi this week? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00−$59.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 20:10Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.996$2.5k
10-08 20:09Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.996$3.0k
10-08 20:09Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.996$6.0k
10-08 20:09Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.995$9.5k
10-06 20:09Iran Nuke before 2027?BUY0.965$6.1k
10-06 20:08Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?BUY0.972$4.9k
10-06 20:07Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.989$34.62
10-06 19:592026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.92$4.6k
07-18 21:51Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.2397747365$60.97
07-18 21:50Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.71$710.00
06-19 23:26Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.991$359.85
06-19 23:26Starmer out by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$19.98
06-17 18:03Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$100.00
06-17 17:59Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.89$667.50
06-17 17:56Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.886916$1.1k