LukiB
0x730da7d292794217736d5e4c4653c6cf0473d448
- Realised P&L
- $11.8k
- Volume
- $641.8k
- Markets traded
- 100
- Open portfolio
- $47.8k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded100
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.773US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$1.2kat 0.921Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?
- +$1.2kat 0.939Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.769France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?
- +$965.51at 0.774Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 20:10 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $2.5k |
| 10-08 20:09 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $3.0k |
| 10-08 20:09 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.0k |
| 10-08 20:09 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.5k |
| 10-06 20:09 | Iran Nuke before 2027? | BUY | 0.965 | $6.1k |
| 10-06 20:08 | Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.972 | $4.9k |
| 10-06 20:07 | Will Pau Cubarsi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.989 | $34.62 |
| 10-06 19:59 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.92 | $4.6k |
| 07-18 21:51 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.2397747365 | $60.97 |
| 07-18 21:50 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.71 | $710.00 |
| 06-19 23:26 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $359.85 |
| 06-19 23:26 | Starmer out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $19.98 |
| 06-17 18:03 | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.005 | $100.00 |
| 06-17 17:59 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.89 | $667.50 |
| 06-17 17:56 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.886916 | $1.1k |