0x723d3f6b5e2Cc46B2910AB7Ba982b18f971690c4-1772196046497
0x723d3f6b5e2cc46b2910ab7ba982b18f971690c4
- Realised P&L
- $546.88
- Volume
- $5.4k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $43.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar10.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$471.17at 0.111Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
- +$178.62at 0.082Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
- +$120.00at 0.250Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?
- +$31.55at 0.329Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
- +$31.11at 0.390Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 14:01 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.65 |
| 08-22 02:33 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.4424875575 | $225.11 |
| 05-31 00:58 | Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.04 |
| 05-24 18:35 | Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | SELL | 0.009 | $1.30 |
| 05-15 23:08 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.0786241173 | $40.00 |
| 05-06 23:01 | Anthropic’s “supply chain risk” designation removed by May 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $16.00 |
| 04-28 03:11 | Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $11.12 |
| 04-17 00:11 | Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by April 30? | BUY | 0.11 | $25.30 |
| 04-15 19:50 | Will Meta have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $0.63 |
| 04-14 23:03 | Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $10.80 |
| 04-14 23:03 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 04-14 00:38 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.031 | $6.20 |
| 04-14 00:37 | Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |
| 04-14 00:21 | Will Anthropic be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $3.96 |
| 04-06 01:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 6? | BUY | 0.163 | $14.34 |