PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Whoisurdaddy

0x71686f4bfbe0e5a1663340b2067f3f6715dde422

Realised P&L
$-108.69
Volume
$69.2k
Markets traded
92
Open portfolio
$48.35

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded92
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1750.175$20.02+$0.02
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? · Yes0.2530.180$10.80−$4.40
Will JetBlue announce bankruptcy by December 31? · Yes0.1100.083$8.25−$2.75
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.021$7.92−$32.08
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.2900.080$1.36−$3.57
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$2.96
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$4.49
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$4.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00−$149.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 11:25Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4$149.74
09-02 11:24Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$4.00
09-02 11:19Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.0149792333$4.49
09-02 11:19Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.009$0.18
07-24 02:03Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?BUY0.156$17.26
07-18 19:05Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.097$1.74
07-18 19:04Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.022$1.76
07-08 09:31Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.031$0.77
07-08 09:30Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.185$11.86
07-08 09:02Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.25$7.50
07-08 08:59Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?BUY0.004$0.60
07-02 12:24Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in June?SELL0.001$0.06
07-02 12:24Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in June?SELL0.001$0.04
06-27 01:45Will annual inflation be 4.3% in June?BUY0.002$2.00
06-27 01:45Will annual inflation be 4.2% in June?BUY0.003$3.00