PolyBot

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Traders

butterbrot

0x70ad3c12fa92a97e1c387ab594e645d940a3f1df

Realised P&L
$-1.5k
Volume
$479.8k
Markets traded
479
Open portfolio
$176.21

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded479
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-30 05:18Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.076$3.03
09-30 05:17Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.6$10.80
09-30 05:17Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?SELL0.61$34.84
09-30 05:17Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.934$28.02
09-30 05:16Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.34$95.20
09-29 17:28Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.964$28.92
09-29 17:24Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.83$20.75
09-29 17:23Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.507$252.99
09-15 05:58Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.34$34.00
09-08 07:49Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.93$18.60
09-08 07:48Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.927$9.26
08-23 09:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?SELL0.31$124.00
08-23 09:36US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30?BUY0.985$4.92
08-23 09:36Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026?BUY0.969$4.84
08-23 09:36Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$4.65