butterbrot
0x70ad3c12fa92a97e1c387ab594e645d940a3f1df
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $479.8k
- Markets traded
- 479
- Open portfolio
- $176.21
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded479
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$493.20at 0.490Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$281.72at 0.283Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$196.84at 0.628Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$180.24at 0.265US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$135.66at 0.256Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 05:18 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.076 | $3.03 |
| 09-30 05:17 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6 | $10.80 |
| 09-30 05:17 | Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.61 | $34.84 |
| 09-30 05:17 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.934 | $28.02 |
| 09-30 05:16 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.34 | $95.20 |
| 09-29 17:28 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.964 | $28.92 |
| 09-29 17:24 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $20.75 |
| 09-29 17:23 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.507 | $252.99 |
| 09-15 05:58 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.34 | $34.00 |
| 09-08 07:49 | Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 09-08 07:48 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $9.26 |
| 08-23 09:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.31 | $124.00 |
| 08-23 09:36 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by September 30? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |
| 08-23 09:36 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $4.84 |
| 08-23 09:36 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |