Scoofy-Bubik
0x709a4b4932cffc2d137fdb31c75d9a95842b7e39
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $920.4k
- Markets traded
- 105
- Open portfolio
- $195.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded105
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.380Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$810.00at 0.730Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
- +$754.14at 0.789Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$649.87at 0.964Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
- +$630.32at 0.907Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-03 08:41 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.963 | $3.5k |
| 09-03 02:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.0k |
| 09-03 01:58 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $197.50 |
| 09-03 01:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.961 | $317.13 |
| 09-03 01:51 | US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? | BUY | 0.96 | $119.62 |
| 08-21 01:44 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.0k |
| 08-20 04:44 | Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.0k |
| 08-19 03:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $960.00 |
| 08-14 04:12 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.2k |
| 08-14 04:10 | Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $2.4k |
| 07-17 09:06 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $2.9k |
| 07-17 08:50 | Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.951 | $23.77 |
| 07-14 01:40 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9626927803 | $3.1k |
| 07-13 08:40 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9619999248 | $1.9k |
| 07-13 08:40 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.961 | $234.48 |