0x6fd4d64e53f8b9cb65e7cb9a1c0f70208f025cfc
- Realised P&L
- $-841.52
- Volume
- $75.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,636
- Open portfolio
- $373.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,636
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$71.26at 0.131Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$65.03at 0.737Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 31?
- +$54.08at 0.567Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Lucknow Super Giants
- +$47.73at 0.734Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 31?
- +$44.47at 0.537Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 02:02 | Will the Boston Red Sox have the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB regular season? | BUY | 0.84 | $10.50 |
| 07-20 19:47 | Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? | BUY | 0.2648979592 | $6.75 |
| 07-19 23:59 | Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.4111268236 | $10.50 |
| 07-19 22:43 | Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? | BUY | 0.2172003373 | $5.80 |
| 07-17 10:32 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.4499999829 | $10.50 |
| 07-17 08:20 | Will The Odyssey get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7726414928 | $10.50 |
| 07-17 02:13 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.5819999777 | $8.36 |
| 07-15 23:14 | Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? | BUY | 0.1861570101 | $10.50 |
| 07-15 12:38 | Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.4361123578 | $10.50 |
| 07-14 03:24 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1979999813 | $10.50 |
| 07-13 12:39 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1492890881 | $10.50 |
| 07-12 11:25 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.4599999956 | $10.50 |
| 07-12 03:57 | Will Paddy Pimblett be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0833012987 | $10.50 |
| 07-10 22:43 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.609999946 | $10.50 |
| 07-10 06:57 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999836 | $6.43 |