PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OntheHedge

0x6f71b848890a88180464d41aa0e83cb3c821b80e

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$324.6k
Markets traded
1,601
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,601
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.9200.954$572.10+$20.30
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.7230.795$317.98+$28.90
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.3840.569$284.49+$92.66
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8700.865$216.25$1.25
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.9130.957$191.30+$8.70
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.6300.495$123.75$33.75
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.8890.814$81.40$7.50
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7800.715$71.50$6.50
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.7240.825$69.86+$8.57
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.8600.895$67.13+$2.63
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.5850.549$54.90$3.60
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No0.5650.445$44.50$12.00
Will EUR/USD hit 1.30 (High) in 2026? · No0.7340.941$21.85+$4.80
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.245$12.25$1.25
Will EUR/USD hit 1.10 (Low) in 2026? · No0.6900.625$0.86$0.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 18:00Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.12$6.00
08-01 21:11FC Porto vs. SCU Torreense: O/U 2.5BUY0.97$9.70
07-06 01:41Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.86$21.50
07-06 01:39Will England win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.87$43.50
07-03 19:29Egypt to win the second half?BUY0.95$71.25
07-03 19:15Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5SELL0.91$1.06
07-01 21:56Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5SELL0.91$43.00
07-01 21:51Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 2.5BUY0.88$16.28
06-30 21:05Spread: France (-4.5)BUY0.95$9.50
06-27 22:38Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?SELL0.62$31.00
06-27 22:37Will Croatia vs. Ghana end in a draw?BUY0.54$27.00
06-24 22:04Spread: Brazil (-1.5)BUY0.47$7.05
06-24 00:15Panama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 1.5BUY0.93$13.95
06-23 23:34Panama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.93$18.60
06-22 20:52Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?SELL0.97$58.19