E.T
0x6b604862b9758e194f7f6fa77764c77f7d5e4007
- Realised P&L
- $-21.3k
- Volume
- $484.4k
- Markets traded
- 4,796
- Open portfolio
- $572.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,796
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.759Bitcoin above $94,000 on January 3?
- +$1.2kat 0.792Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in December?
- +$966.19at 0.675Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$857.61at 0.713Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
- +$804.79at 0.702Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 11:06 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.69 |
| 08-13 11:53 | Will Nigel Farage win the 2026 Clacton by-election by 60% or more? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 08-11 21:24 | Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 08:41 | Netanyahu drops out of Israel election by September 30? | BUY | 0.9669999932 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 07:34 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9579993102 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 07:34 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9509999905 | $1.00 |
| 08-11 07:33 | Christopher Luxon out by September 30? | BUY | 0.8299999792 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 13:59 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0013653834 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 07-30 12:30 | Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election? | BUY | 0.4199999622 | $4.00 |
| 07-29 11:03 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.526999952 | $5.00 |
| 07-29 07:57 | Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.1359998858 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 07:56 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.9299998093 | $4.00 |
| 07-21 03:00 | Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.00 |
| 07-19 21:54 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.00 |