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0x6abe7704bd2c9812E1f74A6B01a61AC7368ED6a5-1744064218199

0x6abe7704bd2c9812e1f74a6b01a61ac7368ed6a5

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$975.5k
Markets traded
803
Open portfolio
$24.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded803
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9170.953$6.3k+$231.38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8900.845$3.4k$182.31
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.8070.815$2.4k+$24.70
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8280.945$2.1k+$257.01
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.8500.825$1.6k$50.00
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8880.945$1.4k+$86.20
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.8300.935$945.39+$106.39
New pandemic in 2026? · No0.9260.935$935.00+$9.00
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? · No0.9410.962$930.22+$19.51
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? · No0.8810.925$837.70+$39.87
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? · No0.9620.971$763.85+$7.08
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.8140.905$758.05+$75.94
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · No0.8810.975$515.06+$49.62
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9030.961$432.23+$25.79
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7020.825$357.51+$53.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 19:17Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?BUY0.962$756.77
08-04 17:08US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?BUY0.75$47.71
08-04 17:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.85$1.7k
08-04 17:05US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.85$1.3k
08-02 16:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.4931199791$3.0k
08-02 04:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.4467054333$2.8k
08-01 03:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9$90.00
08-01 03:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.9$450.00
08-01 03:33Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.9447590602$1.0k
08-01 03:00Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.96$48.00
08-01 03:00Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?SELL0.9759639103$77.07
08-01 02:59Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.946$72.94
08-01 02:59Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?SELL0.94$195.15
08-01 02:59Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?SELL0.9585079688$150.96
08-01 02:56Iran Nuke before 2027?SELL0.9473232054$722.41