PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ChuanPu

0x69990b390adb44e3d53ffc6200163dee289ff83b

Realised P&L
$325.76
Volume
$27.2k
Markets traded
452
Open portfolio
$678.94

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded452
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.9500.970$153.16+$3.16
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No0.9761.000$102.46+$2.46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9640.977$101.30+$1.30
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.935$100.54+$0.54
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.0000.852$95.25+$95.25
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No0.0000.991$50.76+$50.76
Will Trump endorse Romeu Zema for President of Brazil? · No0.0000.994$15.36+$15.36
Myspace relaunched in 2026? · No0.0000.865$14.74+$14.74
Mamdani announces reparations by March 31, 2027? · No0.9300.895$14.44−$0.56
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? · No0.0001.000$10.53+$10.53
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? · No0.0001.000$10.36+$10.36
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? · No0.9410.945$10.05+$0.05
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 7? · No0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.6000.000$0.00−$25.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET · Up0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-10 13:00Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.3499999842$10.00
08-10 12:59Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.5$10.00
08-10 12:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.2599999839$10.00
08-10 12:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.4117646623$5.00
08-10 12:55Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETBUY0.4399999648$5.00
08-10 12:51Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETSELL0.17$7.08
08-10 12:50Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETBUY0.1199999808$5.00
08-10 12:48Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSELL0.97$26.58
08-10 12:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.7299999974$20.00
08-10 12:47Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETSELL0.66$20.30
08-10 12:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.6499999935$20.00
08-10 12:45Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ETBUY0.4299999871$5.00
08-10 12:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETSELL0.94$26.10
08-10 12:42Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.6$25.00
08-10 12:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.359999987$10.00