unfortunate
0x695c1dbc0cf3d4758c8879ea5139c1615d9310a1
- Realised P&L
- $23.3k
- Volume
- $501.2k
- Markets traded
- 962
- Open portfolio
- $5.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded962
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.201Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
- +$1.1kat 0.253Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
- +$930.43at 0.251Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
- +$862.85at 0.245Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?
- +$832.74at 0.243DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 11:49 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.2238961967 | $204.87 |
| 06-01 11:48 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.881 | $65.19 |
| 05-28 23:18 | Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31? | SELL | 0.1840054496 | $67.53 |
| 05-27 22:06 | Claude 4.8 released by May 31? | SELL | 0.4 | $100.80 |
| 05-26 15:00 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | SELL | 0.261 | $50.22 |
| 05-23 22:04 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | SELL | 0.2345133435 | $154.31 |
| 05-23 22:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | SELL | 0.2422508929 | $325.59 |
| 05-17 07:48 | Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22? | SELL | 0.0324963975 | $13.49 |
| 05-17 07:44 | Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22? | SELL | 0.04 | $20.00 |
| 05-16 08:42 | U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $58.46 |
| 05-15 14:16 | Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China? | BUY | 0.09 | $6.42 |
| 05-14 12:14 | Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31? | SELL | 0.1883333333 | $11.30 |
| 05-14 11:23 | Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15?? | SELL | 0.28 | $39.10 |
| 05-13 18:58 | Will 54 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.30 |
| 05-12 12:07 | UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $33.85 |