PolyBot

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Traders

unfortunate

0x695c1dbc0cf3d4758c8879ea5139c1615d9310a1

Realised P&L
$23.3k
Volume
$501.2k
Markets traded
962
Open portfolio
$5.5k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded962
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms? · No0.2840.979$858.58+$609.03
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.3010.959$348.89+$239.43
Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · No0.3520.800$338.40+$189.25
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.3100.755$327.67+$192.96
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026? · No0.2800.893$267.77+$183.86
Blue wave in 2026? · Yes0.3390.820$267.32+$156.70
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.3100.915$267.19+$176.51
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.3200.907$143.31+$92.75
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · Anthropic0.2300.942$136.52+$103.17
OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2026? · No0.2000.309$125.14+$44.15
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? · No0.4360.765$122.40+$52.59
Spain snap election called in 2026? · No0.3200.800$116.80+$70.08
Will Exponent launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1600.625$112.50+$83.70
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.3200.755$111.74+$64.38
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 · No0.3500.910$97.37+$59.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-01 11:49MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?SELL0.2238961967$204.87
06-01 11:48MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.881$65.19
05-28 23:18Pam Bondi testifies before congress by May 31?SELL0.1840054496$67.53
05-27 22:06Claude 4.8 released by May 31?SELL0.4$100.80
05-26 15:00Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?SELL0.261$50.22
05-23 22:04Iran closes its airspace by May 31?SELL0.2345133435$154.31
05-23 22:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.2422508929$325.59
05-17 07:48Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?SELL0.0324963975$13.49
05-17 07:44Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?SELL0.04$20.00
05-16 08:42U.S. strike on Nigeria by June 30, 2026?SELL0.37$58.46
05-15 14:16Will Trump announce a tariff reduction on China?BUY0.09$6.42
05-14 12:14Labour leadership election scheduled by May 31?SELL0.1883333333$11.30
05-14 11:23Wes Streeting out as UK Health Secretary by May 15??SELL0.28$39.10
05-13 18:58Will 54 senators vote “Yea” for Trump’s Fed Chair nominee?SELL0.01$0.30
05-12 12:07UK Cabinet Minister resigns by May 31, 2026?SELL0.05$33.85