PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x687d8cF19d873aED1957E61a3f2092D4721Ce28B-1763957275292

0x687d8cf19d873aed1957e61a3f2092d4721ce28b

Realised P&L
$6.4k
Volume
$914.1k
Markets traded
963
Open portfolio
$11.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded963
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? · No0.8900.975$2.1k+$182.09
Will Dune: Part Three be delayed? · No0.9070.978$1.2k+$86.41
GTA VI released by November 30? · Yes0.9400.953$1.1k+$14.38
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.4670.955$917.45+$468.85
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9320.979$733.88+$34.88
Will BRICS add a new member in 2026? · No0.5300.875$562.40+$221.87
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · No0.7620.905$547.52+$86.67
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8800.972$485.75+$45.75
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.8400.879$481.27+$21.61
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · No0.6620.935$472.18+$137.93
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.8920.867$433.25−$12.75
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8400.835$417.50−$2.50
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No0.8700.979$290.72+$32.24
Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? · No0.7780.963$275.57+$52.85
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1900.220$234.30+$31.95

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 20:22Will AS Monaco FC vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?BUY0.53$147.34
10-10 18:26US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.7408625233$186.41
10-10 15:27Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?BUY0.5499999995$350.00
10-10 06:15Shanghai Rolex Masters: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Felix Auger-AliassimeBUY0.18$79.92
10-10 05:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETBUY0.3499999972$25.00
10-10 05:22Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETBUY0.579999994$25.00
10-10 05:19Shanghai Rolex Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Jan-Lennard StruffSELL0.41$182.04
10-09 18:18Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-10-09?BUY0.34$69.70
10-08 23:52Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.6006906156$111.00
10-08 23:52Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.598741804$100.00
10-08 23:52Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.5938515367$200.00
10-06 10:57Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?SELL0.0011402402$0.76
10-06 04:06Will the Parti Québécois win by between 20 and 29 seats?BUY0.89$4.54
10-06 04:06Will the Parti Québécois win by between 10 and 19 seats?BUY0.8521227545$22.77
10-06 02:18Will the Parti Québécois win by between 10 and 19 seats?BUY0.74$59.20