PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

PoBot26

0x67291ff7961f053926a623434cbacd908c00d586

Realised P&L
$-569.30
Volume
$113.3k
Markets traded
175
Open portfolio
$121.02

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded175
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2100.235$14.57+$1.52
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · Yes0.3420.335$12.03−$0.26
Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October? · Yes0.1280.135$12.00+$0.59
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1750.165$9.52−$0.57
Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime? · Yes0.3320.305$9.27−$0.82
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1030.105$7.77+$0.12
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3600.335$7.28−$0.55
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3500.285$7.11−$1.63
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1590.155$5.66−$0.14
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.4200.452$5.37+$0.38
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.105$5.19+$0.25
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.375$4.85+$0.97
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? · Yes0.1950.185$4.68−$0.26
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.2000.165$4.08−$0.86
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No0.4450.335$3.74−$1.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 14:25Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?SELL0.13$1.44
10-04 09:44Will Ethereum dip to $2,100 in October?SELL0.12$4.05
10-04 04:13Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$18.28
10-04 04:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.16$7.92
10-03 17:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.19$18.45
10-03 17:00Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2$7.92
10-03 16:20Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.37$4.78
10-03 06:36Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?SELL0.18$1.80
10-03 06:24Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?SELL0.25$1.84
10-03 04:56Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.18$1.63
10-03 04:42Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?SELL0.15$7.33
10-02 15:57Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?SELL0.07$0.39
10-01 20:17Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.21$1.21
10-01 19:44Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.21$2.41
10-01 17:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.15$0.80