PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

BeN

0x668d85d791049bf0100e557a72c7ed4dc97297d2

Realised P&L
$36.2k
Volume
$5.49M
Markets traded
1,789
Open portfolio
$38.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,789
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration77.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.790$13.4k+$4.9k
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9440.991$11.4k+$541.09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.209$3.6k$4.9k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9180.866$2.9k$178.05
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8550.963$2.6k+$289.61
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.8450.955$1.1k+$132.00
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9100.977$976.50+$66.50
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9290.961$768.80+$25.26
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9100.970$484.99+$30.00
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9000.952$316.82+$17.15
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7300.905$181.00+$35.00
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.4300.645$129.00+$43.00
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.9130.950$111.30+$4.37
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4500.405$81.00$9.00
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1700.117$46.59$21.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-25 17:01Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.998$2.5k
05-25 13:39Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.9182102858$2.3k
05-22 15:16Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.953$2.5k
05-14 11:54Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.54$4.32
05-14 11:51Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5445966061$73.17
05-13 15:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.917$165.06
05-13 15:39Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.009$5.67
05-13 11:41Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?BUY0.54$140.79
05-13 11:32Will Australia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.53$67.20
05-05 11:03Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.192$7.40
05-05 11:01Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$0.80
05-05 11:01Will Ed Davey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.002$0.49
05-02 18:50Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.19$34.46
05-02 18:43Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.1878143669$25.78
05-02 18:40Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.3167240196$64.61