PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

BeN

0x668d85d791049bf0100e557a72c7ed4dc97297d2

Realised P&L
$35.4k
Volume
$5.46M
Markets traded
1,799
Open portfolio
$44.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,799
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$13.8k+$5.3k
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · No0.9440.987$11.4k+$489.39
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? · No0.9400.940$4.7k−$2.28
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$3.1k−$5.4k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.9180.900$3.1k−$59.21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.8550.977$2.6k+$327.41
Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31? · No0.9330.969$1.7k+$60.99
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.8450.972$1.2k+$152.40
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9290.980$783.60+$40.06
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? · No0.9100.977$488.24+$33.25
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9000.965$321.15+$21.48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.7300.967$193.30+$47.30
Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"? · No0.9470.977$121.09+$3.71
Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"? · No0.9420.959$117.96+$2.11
Iran nuclear test before 2027? · No0.9130.957$112.06+$5.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 19:06Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December?BUY0.9399568$4.7k
10-26 20:54Will Merriam-Webster's 2026 Word of the Year contain "slop"?BUY0.87$19.13
10-26 20:53Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rot"?BUY0.93$18.60
10-26 20:52Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?BUY0.94$25.29
10-26 20:51Will Oxford's 2026 Word of the Year contain "rage"?BUY0.95$21.85
10-26 20:50Will Collins's 2026 Word of the Year contain "vibe"?BUY0.95$97.85
10-26 20:09Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?BUY0.933$1.5k
10-26 19:4210.0 or above earthquake before 2027?BUY0.987$65.54
05-25 17:01Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.998$2.5k
05-25 13:39Will 0 world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?BUY0.9182102858$2.3k
05-22 15:16Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?BUY0.953$2.5k
05-14 11:54Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.54$4.32
05-14 11:51Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.5445966061$73.17
05-13 15:51Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.917$165.06
05-13 15:39Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.009$5.67