PolyBot

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Traders

garlictrump

0x6630c34aa5836d4610fb6303d0ee9d966cd42f4e

Realised P&L
$28.8k
Volume
$1.48M
Markets traded
521
Open portfolio
$18.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded521
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.6790.915$4.6k+$1.2k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.8010.843$3.0k+$149.88
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7820.845$1.7k+$126.00
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.9020.986$1.7k+$141.93
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? · Yes0.9080.951$1.6k+$69.60
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? · No0.7210.745$1.3k+$40.90
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · No0.7220.705$1.1k$26.72
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.8120.998$923.77+$171.90
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes0.4000.685$411.00+$171.00
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? · Yes0.6650.905$362.00+$96.00
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · No0.5710.820$327.98+$99.39
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No0.7390.725$295.29$5.64
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7450.710$284.00$14.00
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.7690.815$257.27+$14.36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? · No0.6800.990$247.38+$77.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-08 17:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.47$893.00
09-07 10:28Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026?SELL0.7320205671$340.26
09-04 08:41Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?SELL0.98$1.7k
08-27 07:26Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?SELL0.98$69.58
08-25 13:37Iran leadership change by August 31?SELL0.995$2.8k
08-23 11:26US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30?BUY0.73$730.00
08-23 06:31Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?SELL0.993$3.4k
08-23 06:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?BUY0.84$357.92
08-21 02:04US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?SELL0.996$1.2k
08-21 02:01Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?SELL0.2019120797$114.05
08-21 02:00Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?SELL0.2457981538$639.08
08-20 16:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.96$1.6k
08-20 03:01Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?BUY0.1932518489$380.00
08-19 12:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?SELL0.977$176.86
08-18 17:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?SELL0.32$255.99