garlictrump
0x6630c34aa5836d4610fb6303d0ee9d966cd42f4e
- Realised P&L
- $28.8k
- Volume
- $1.48M
- Markets traded
- 521
- Open portfolio
- $18.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded521
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.2kat 0.343Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.7kat 0.845Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
- +$1.5kat 0.238Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$1.4kat 0.868Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$1.2kat 0.871Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-08 17:25 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.47 | $893.00 |
| 09-07 10:28 | Will Apple purchase memory CXMT chips in 2026? | SELL | 0.7320205671 | $340.26 |
| 09-04 08:41 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.7k |
| 08-27 07:26 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | SELL | 0.98 | $69.58 |
| 08-25 13:37 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | SELL | 0.995 | $2.8k |
| 08-23 11:26 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.73 | $730.00 |
| 08-23 06:31 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | SELL | 0.993 | $3.4k |
| 08-23 06:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $357.92 |
| 08-21 02:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.2k |
| 08-21 02:01 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | SELL | 0.2019120797 | $114.05 |
| 08-21 02:00 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | SELL | 0.2457981538 | $639.08 |
| 08-20 16:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.6k |
| 08-20 03:01 | Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | BUY | 0.1932518489 | $380.00 |
| 08-19 12:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | SELL | 0.977 | $176.86 |
| 08-18 17:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.32 | $255.99 |