PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

iamderkyi

0x63dc07db69631f60153475953354e23fee3a6839

Realised P&L
$-139.76
Volume
$4.4k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$54.83

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0430.060$13.96+$3.96
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0490.043$8.59$1.41
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0460.030$6.56$3.44
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0980.065$5.97$3.03
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.305$3.63$1.37
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5700.405$3.55$1.45
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.115$2.30+$0.30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0420.046$2.21+$0.21
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes0.1330.070$1.59$1.41
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.835$1.18+$0.18
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1000.055$1.10$0.90
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$0.92$0.08
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.020$0.87$0.13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.305$0.85$0.15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.045$0.50$0.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 01:24Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-01 01:24Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-29 14:31Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.022999978$1.00
07-29 14:26New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-27 08:24Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?BUY0.1359998858$1.00
07-27 08:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
07-27 08:09New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-26 22:09Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by July 31, 2026?BUY0.0025751073$1.00
07-26 22:042026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseBUY0.4199999832$5.00
07-26 22:02China coup attempt before 2027?BUY0.040196071$5.00