PolyBot

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Traders

iamderkyi

0x63dc07db69631f60153475953354e23fee3a6839

Realised P&L
$-129.18
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$151.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration80.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms? · Yes0.0890.109$122.17+$22.18
China coup attempt before 2027? · Yes0.0430.018$4.15−$5.85
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · Yes0.0490.021$4.15−$5.85
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0980.045$4.14−$4.86
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? · Yes0.0460.019$4.09−$5.91
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.4200.235$2.80−$2.20
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5700.285$2.50−$2.50
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1000.095$1.90−$0.10
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7100.825$1.16+$0.16
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3600.345$0.96−$0.04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0420.019$0.93−$1.07
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0230.017$0.72−$0.28
Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026? · Yes0.1330.029$0.64−$2.36
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.036$0.60−$0.40
New pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.1000.018$0.36−$1.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-16 10:20Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.0897308075$40.00
10-16 10:14Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.0893211592$50.00
10-16 10:10Will Republicans hold 50–52 Senate seats and 193–207 House seats after the 2026 midterms?BUY0.0867258739$10.00
08-01 01:24Will Toronto FC win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.1299998986$1.00
08-01 01:24Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
07-29 14:31Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.022999978$1.00
07-29 14:26New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-27 08:24Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?BUY0.1359998858$1.00
07-27 08:14US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?BUY0.004$1.00
07-27 08:09New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.1$1.00
07-26 22:09Will Trump endorse any candidate for President before 2027?BUY0.1$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0429999606$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00
07-26 22:05Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0179999825$1.00