Shadursky
0x63c6169ce52343b2de939559cfc7cc42d66a3e53
- Realised P&L
- $5.5k
- Volume
- $77.2k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $10.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.8kat 0.225Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$983.35at 0.103Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$930.60at 0.851US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$356.11at 0.585US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$336.27at 0.920Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 20:51 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $44.98 |
| 09-11 18:34 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $47.81 |
| 09-11 18:15 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $9.13 |
| 09-11 18:15 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $9.13 |
| 09-11 07:59 | Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.5 | $6.62 |
| 09-10 23:50 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $17.20 |
| 09-10 16:36 | Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.946 | $107.16 |
| 09-02 08:13 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 09-01 22:21 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $437.74 |
| 09-01 16:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $772.36 |
| 09-01 14:23 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.85 | $76.08 |
| 09-01 13:25 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $185.29 |
| 09-01 13:24 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.9536597459 | $184.65 |
| 08-31 20:29 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $8.36 |
| 08-30 23:04 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |