PolyBot

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Traders

Shadursky

0x63c6169ce52343b2de939559cfc7cc42d66a3e53

Realised P&L
$5.5k
Volume
$77.2k
Markets traded
94
Open portfolio
$10.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar7.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded94
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.3310.825$2.4k+$1.5k
Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No0.8800.925$2.4k+$116.70
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7910.835$834.99+$43.86
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · No0.8290.795$794.60$34.19
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.6000.765$672.11+$144.96
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.6700.715$615.44+$39.01
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8500.855$602.34+$3.52
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.8760.966$453.69+$41.98
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.9550.961$371.94+$2.00
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4280.860$280.01+$140.47
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · No0.8440.961$221.53+$26.90
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? · No0.9460.945$216.81$0.34
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.9090.935$206.45+$5.82
US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? · No0.9530.940$130.61$1.75
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026? · Yes0.9720.964$79.44$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 20:51Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.946$44.98
09-11 18:34Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.946$47.81
09-11 18:15Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.5$9.13
09-11 18:15Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.5$9.13
09-11 07:59Counter-Strike: Chicken Coop Esports vs Marsborne (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: North American Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.5$6.62
09-10 23:50Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.946$17.20
09-10 16:36Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?BUY0.946$107.16
09-02 08:13Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.85$85.00
09-01 22:21Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.85$437.74
09-01 16:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.74$772.36
09-01 14:23Iran leadership change by December 31?BUY0.85$76.08
09-01 13:25Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.957$185.29
09-01 13:24Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.9536597459$184.65
08-31 20:29Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.94$8.36
08-30 23:04Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?BUY0.81$16.20